The Future of Business

I've contributed a chapter to an interesting new book about the future of business. Edited by Rohit Talwar, The Future of Business looks at the social and economic forces, business trends, disruptive technologies, breakthrough developments in science and new ideas that will shape the commercial environment over the next two decades. It contains chapters by 60 authors -  established and emerging futurists from around the world - and is grouped into ten sections: Visions of the Future - What are the global transformations on the horizon? Tomorrow's Global Order - What are the emerging political and economic transformations that could reshape the environment for society and...

Professor Stuart Russell's talk at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risks

Professor Stuart Russell, computer science professor at University of California, Berkeley, gave a clear and powerful talk on the promise and peril of artificial intelligence at the CSER in Cambridge on 15th May. Professor Russell has been thinking for over 20 years about what will happen if we create an AGI – an artificial general intelligence, a machine with human-level cognitive abilities. The last chapter of his classic 1994 textbook Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach was called “What if we succeed?” Although he cautions against making naive statements based on Moore's Law, he notes that progress on AI is accelerating in...

The Economist’s curious articles on artificial intelligence

The Economist is famous for its excellence at forecasting the past and its weakness at forecasting the future. Its survey on AI (9th May) is a classic. The explanation of deep learning is outstanding, but the conclusion that we should not worry about superintelligence because today's computers have neither volition nor awareness is, well, less impressive. The magazine's leader seems to agree, saying that "even if the prospect of what Mr Hawking calls “full” AI is still distant, it is prudent for societies to plan for how to cope". But it then goes on to make the outlandish claim that...